Watch List — Week 1
2026 snap shares and PPR points through week 1 — who gained a role, who lost one, and whose usage is ahead of his scoring
How this week's list is built
Every skill player with a week 1 snap-count row is screened. Snap risers are players listed below the top of their depth chart who still played 50%+ of the offensive snaps; snap fallers are listed starters who played under 50%. Usage ahead of points and points ahead of usage compare a player's season-to-date role (snap-share percentile, averaged with his targets, carries or attempts percentile when Next Gen Stats has him) against his season-to-date PPR points-per-game percentile, within his position, among RB/WR/TEs averaging at least 30% of snaps (quarterbacks all play every snap, so they only appear in the snap screens).
Chips: SECURE top of the depth chart, no premium rookie added · ROOKIE PRESSURE still #1 but a round 1–2 pick arrived · BEHIND N not the listed starter · OFF CHART not on any depth chart. Editions are frozen when published, so earlier weeks keep the lists they were published with.
What do these columns mean?
- Snap%
- Share of his team's offensive snaps this week.
- Prev / Δ
- Last week's snap share and the change in share points.
- Pts
- PPR fantasy points this week.
- STD Snap%
- Season-to-date average snap share over the weeks he has a row for.
- Volume
- Season-to-date targets (WR/TE), carries (RB) or pass attempts (QB) from Next Gen Stats; blank when NGS doesn't track him.
- STD PPG
- Season-to-date PPR points per game.
- Role pct
- Within-position percentile of his season-to-date usage (snap share, plus volume when available).
- PPG pct
- Within-position percentile of his season-to-date PPG.
- Gap
- Role pct minus PPG pct. Positive = usage says he should score more; negative = scoring is outrunning the usage.
- SoS pct
- Strength-of-schedule percentile among his position peers (100 = easiest slate) from the Defenses page.
- Current opportunity
- Listed depth chart slot, players listed ahead, rookies the team drafted at the position, and any AI vetting note.
📈 Snap risers
Listed backups and unlisted players who played a starter's share of snaps in week 1.
| Player | Pos | Team | Snap% | Prev | Δ | Pts | STD PPG | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Rush | QB | ATL | 100% | – | – | 5.7 | 5.7 |
ATL QB3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Michael Penix Jr., Tua Tagovailoa |
| Denzel Boston | WR | CLE | 92% | – | – | 13.9 | 13.9 |
CLE WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Jerry Jeudy, KC Concepcion drafted: KC Concepcion (R1), Denzel Boston (R2) |
| Drew Lock | QB | SEA | 90% | – | – | 12.8 | 12.8 |
SEA QB2
BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Sam Darnold — left game Q1 12:27 ahead: Sam Darnold |
| Carson Wentz | QB | MIN | 83% | – | – | 19.2 | 19.2 |
MIN QB2
BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Kyler Murray — left game Q1 06:16 ahead: Kyler Murray |
| Matthew Golden | WR | GB | 82% | – | – | 15.5 | 15.5 |
GB WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Christian Watson, Jayden Reed |
| Michael Mayer | TE | LV | 81% | – | – | 9.2 | 9.2 |
LV TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Brock Bowers |
| Cooper Kupp | WR | SEA | 78% | – | – | 5.5 | 5.5 |
SEA WR3
BEHIND 2
QUESTIONABLE · Back
ahead: Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Rashid Shaheed drafted: Emmanuel Henderson Jr. (R6) |
| Tre Harris | WR | LAC | 75% | – | – | 5.0 | 5.0 |
LAC WR3
BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for Ladd McConkey — left game Q3 00:23 ahead: Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston drafted: Brenen Thompson (R4) |
| Ted Hurst | WR | TB | 75% | – | – | 6.6 | 6.6 |
TB WR4
BEHIND 3
ahead: Emeka Egbuka, Chris Godwin Jr., Jalen McMillan |
| Pat Freiermuth | TE | PIT | 73% | – | – | 15.6 | 15.6 |
PIT TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Darnell Washington drafted: Riley Nowakowski (R5) |
| Ryan Flournoy | WR | DAL | 71% | – | – | 4.2 | 4.2 |
DAL WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens drafted: Anthony Smith (R7) |
| Luke Farrell | TE | SF | 71% | – | – | 3.9 | 3.9 |
SF TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: George Kittle |
📉 Snap fallers
Listed starters who played under half the snaps in week 1.
| Player | Pos | Team | Snap% | Prev | Δ | Pts | STD PPG | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Darnold | QB | SEA | 10% | – | – | 0.5 | 0.5 |
SEA QB1
SECURE
OUT · Lower Body
🚑 left game Q1 12:27 AI: BELONGSConfirmed Seahawks starter coming off a Super Bowl-winning 2025 with the NFL's third-best scoring offense; returns to the same team/scheme for the first time since 2022, with Rashid Shaheed now alongside Jaxon Smith-Njigba. |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 17% | – | – | -0.4 | -0.4 |
MIN QB1
SECURE
QUESTIONABLE · Concussion
🚑 left game Q1 06:16 |
| Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 29% | – | – | 26.0 | 26.0 |
BAL WR1
SECURE
QUESTIONABLE · Hamstring
drafted: Ja'Kobi Lane (R3), Elijah Sarratt (R4) |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 33% | – | – | 18.8 | 18.8 |
CIN TE1
SECURE
drafted: Jack Endries (R7) |
| Brian Thomas | WR | JAX | 35% | – | – | 7.0 | 7.0 |
JAX WR1
SECURE
QUESTIONABLE · Shoulder
drafted: Josh Cameron (R6), CJ Williams (R6) AI: BELONGSLocked-in Jaguars WR1 with camp reports of growing chemistry with Trevor Lawrence in Liam Coen's offense; his late-August shoulder scare proved minor and he's on track for Week 1. |
| Jaylen Warren | RB | PIT | 37% | – | – | 10.3 | 10.3 | PIT RB1 SECURE |
| Deebo Samuel | WR | SF | 42% | – | – | 18.0 | 18.0 |
SF WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Mike Evans |
| Jeremiyah Love | RB | ARI | 43% | – | – | 13.0 | 13.0 |
ARI RB1
ROOKIE PRESSURE
drafted: Jeremiyah Love (R1) |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 43% | – | – | 3.6 | 3.6 |
DEN RB1
SECURE
drafted: Jonah Coleman (R4) AI: BELONGSReinforced: despite topping Denver's first depth chart, the backfield is a crowded committee with rookie Jonah Coleman impressing plus RJ Harvey — analysts openly call Dobbins a 'September rental,' so his 91st-percentile efficiency is unlikely to survive both regression and shrinking touches. |
| MarShawn Lloyd | RB | GB | 44% | – | – | 3.7 | 3.7 | GB RB1 SECURE |
| Aaron Jones | RB | MIN | 46% | – | – | 10.0 | 10.0 |
MIN RB1
SECURE
drafted: Demond Claiborne (R6) |
| George Kittle | TE | SF | 46% | – | – | 3.2 | 3.2 | SF TE1 SECURE QUESTIONABLE · Achilles |
💰 Usage ahead of points
Season-to-date role percentile well above scoring percentile — the snaps and touches are there, the points usually follow.
| Player | Pos | Team | STD Snap% | Volume | STD PPG | G | Role pct | PPG pct | Gap | SoS pct | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 87% | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 59.8 | 0.0 | +59.8 | – |
CHI TE1
SECURE
drafted: Sam Roush (R3) |
| Malik Washington | WR | MIA | 98% | 8 | 6.3 | 1 | 89.6 | 43.4 | +46.2 | – |
MIA WR1
SECURE
drafted: Caleb Douglas (R3), Chris Bell (R3), Kevin Coleman (R5) |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 94% | 4 | 3.2 | 1 | 66.5 | 21.7 | +44.8 | – |
CIN WR1
SECURE
drafted: Colbie Young (R4) |
| Jordan Addison | WR | MIN | 83% | 2 | 0.0 | 1 | 44.3 | 0.0 | +44.3 | – |
MIN WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Justin Jefferson AI: BELONGSClear Vikings WR2 behind Justin Jefferson with a strong camp and only a minor thumb issue; new QB Kyler Murray worked extensively with him this offseason and he's motivated in a contract year. |
| D.K. Metcalf | WR | PIT | 96% | 10 | 8.0 | 1 | 95.8 | 53.8 | +42.0 | – |
PIT WR1
ROOKIE PRESSURE
drafted: Germie Bernard (R2), Kaden Wetjen (R4) |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 76% | 5 | 3.1 | 1 | 59.0 | 19.8 | +39.2 | – |
DEN WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Jaylen Waddle |
| Quentin Johnston | WR | LAC | 78% | 6 | 3.7 | 1 | 63.2 | 25.5 | +37.7 | – |
LAC WR2
BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Ladd McConkey — left game Q3 00:23 ahead: Ladd McConkey drafted: Brenen Thompson (R4) |
| Terry McLaurin | WR | WAS | 87% | 4 | 3.4 | 1 | 61.3 | 23.6 | +37.7 | – |
WAS WR1
SECURE
drafted: Antonio Williams (R3) |
| Colby Parkinson | TE | LA | 77% | 2 | 1.6 | 1 | 54.1 | 18.0 | +36.1 | – | LA TE1 SECURE |
| Rashod Bateman | WR | BAL | 78% | 1 | 0.0 | 1 | 34.9 | 0.0 | +34.9 | – |
BAL WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Zay Flowers drafted: Ja'Kobi Lane (R3), Elijah Sarratt (R4) |
| Drake London | WR | ATL | 98% | 4 | 5.5 | 1 | 67.9 | 34.9 | +33.0 | – |
ATL WR1
SECURE
drafted: Zachariah Branch (R3) |
| Quinshon Judkins | RB | CLE | 65% | 12 | 7.0 | 1 | 67.6 | 35.2 | +32.4 | – | CLE RB1 SECURE |
⚠️ Points ahead of usage
Scoring percentile well above role percentile — touchdown- and big-play-driven starts that history says regress.
| Player | Pos | Team | STD Snap% | Volume | STD PPG | G | Role pct | PPG pct | Gap | SoS pct | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Williams | WR | WAS | 37% | 4 | 16.4 | 1 | 23.1 | 85.8 | -62.7 | – |
WAS WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Terry McLaurin, Stefon Diggs drafted: Antonio Williams (R3) |
| Josh Palmer | WR | BUF | 31% | 2 | 10.4 | 1 | 7.5 | 69.8 | -62.3 | – | OFF CHART |
| Josh Cameron | WR | JAX | 33% | 2 | 10.0 | 1 | 8.5 | 67.9 | -59.4 | – |
JAX WR4
BEHIND 3
ahead: Brian Thomas Jr., Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers drafted: Josh Cameron (R6), CJ Williams (R6) |
| Devin Singletary | RB | NYG | 36% | 6 | 13.8 | 1 | 11.1 | 64.8 | -53.7 | – |
NYG RB2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Cam Skattebo |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 42% | 3 | 11.4 | 1 | 30.3 | 80.3 | -50.0 | – |
NYJ TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Mason Taylor drafted: Kenyon Sadiq (R1) |
| Kyle Monangai | RB | CHI | 43% | 10 | 20.4 | 1 | 29.6 | 79.6 | -50.0 | – |
CHI RB2
BEHIND 1
QUESTIONABLE · Hamstring
ahead: D'Andre Swift |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 33% | 7 | 18.8 | 1 | 44.3 | 93.4 | -49.2 | – |
CIN TE1
SECURE
drafted: Jack Endries (R7) |
| Jack Bech | WR | LV | 40% | 4 | 11.3 | 1 | 24.1 | 72.6 | -48.6 | – |
LV WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Tre Tucker, Jalen Nailor |
Sources: nflverse snap counts and weekly player stats, NFL Next Gen Stats weekly rows, depth charts and draft data (see the project's data source list). Edition generated 2026-09-17 18:31 UTC; earlier weeks stay as published. AI notes generated 2026-09-02 10:16 UTC by Claude with live news search.