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How this week's list is built

Every skill player with a week 4 snap-count row is screened. Snap risers gained 15+ share points versus week 3; snap fallers lost 15+ share points. Usage ahead of points and points ahead of usage compare a player's season-to-date role (snap-share percentile, averaged with his targets, carries or attempts percentile when Next Gen Stats has him) against his season-to-date PPR points-per-game percentile, within his position, among RB/WR/TEs averaging at least 30% of snaps (quarterbacks all play every snap, so they only appear in the snap screens).

Chips: SECURE top of the depth chart, no premium rookie added · ROOKIE PRESSURE still #1 but a round 1–2 pick arrived · BEHIND N not the listed starter · OFF CHART not on any depth chart. Editions are frozen when published, so earlier weeks keep the lists they were published with.

What do these columns mean?
Snap%
Share of his team's offensive snaps this week.
Prev / Δ
Last week's snap share and the change in share points.
Pts
PPR fantasy points this week.
STD Snap%
Season-to-date average snap share over the weeks he has a row for.
Volume
Season-to-date targets (WR/TE), carries (RB) or pass attempts (QB) from Next Gen Stats; blank when NGS doesn't track him.
STD PPG
Season-to-date PPR points per game.
Role pct
Within-position percentile of his season-to-date usage (snap share, plus volume when available).
PPG pct
Within-position percentile of his season-to-date PPG.
Gap
Role pct minus PPG pct. Positive = usage says he should score more; negative = scoring is outrunning the usage.
SoS pct
Strength-of-schedule percentile among his position peers (100 = easiest slate) from the Defenses page.
Current opportunity
Listed depth chart slot, players listed ahead, rookies the team drafted at the position, and any AI vetting note.

📈 Snap risers

Biggest snap-share gains versus week 3.

PlayerPosTeam Snap% Prev Δ Pts STD PPG Current opportunity
Tyson BagentQBCHI 100%– +100 8.85.5 CHI QB2 BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Caleb Williams — Out (Hamstring)
ahead: Caleb Williams
AI: BELONGSBen Johnson confirmed Bagent starts again Week 5 vs Green Bay; Caleb Williams (Grade 2 hamstring, 3-4 week timeline) will not even practice this week after Bagent went 25/34 for 268 in the Week 4 win over the Jets. Role is sticky for roughly 1-2 more starts, then Williams returns.
Jalon DanielsQBTB 100%6% +94 11.45.2 TB QB2 BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Baker Mayfield — Out (Thumb)
ahead: Baker Mayfield
AI: BELONGSTodd Bowles confirmed Daniels starts Thursday night at Dallas; Baker Mayfield's dislocated thumb (Sep 27) carries a minimum three-week timeline, so Daniels has Weeks 5-6 at least. Week 4 vs GB: 19/27, 148 yds, TD, 2 INT plus 55 rush yards (Bucs rookie QB record).
Puka NacuaWRLA 90%– +90 27.720.1 LA WR1 SECURE
AI: BELONGSReturned from hip/groin (pre-hernia) issue with no designation and immediately handled a full workload: 9/125 on 12 targets plus a rushing TD at Philadelphia, ~90% snaps, no setback reported. The 'rise' is just the WR1 coming back, but the role is fully intact.
Athan KaliakmanisQBWAS 84%– +84 11.011.0 WAS QB3 BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for Marcus Mariota — left game Q1 07:05
ahead: Jayden Daniels, Marcus Mariota
drafted: Athan Kaliakmanis (R7)
AI: REMOVEOnly played because Marcus Mariota tore his MCL in Q1 of Week 4 (Jayden Daniels already out); went 15/33 for 186. Dan Quinn's stated goal is a full practice week for Daniels to start Week 5 vs the Giants, which drops Kaliakmanis back to the bench.
Darius CooperWRPHI 90%10% +80 18.37.2 PHI WR5 BEHIND 4
↗ filling in for DeVonta Smith — Out (Hamstring)
ahead: DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks, Makai Lemon, Hollywood Brown
drafted: Makai Lemon (R1)
AI: BELONGSLed the Eagles in targets (7) and receiving yards with both Hurts TDs with DeVonta Smith and Dallas Goedert out. Smith (hamstring) is 'at very best' questionable for Week 5 and could miss multiple games, so Cooper's expanded role holds at least another week.
Nico CollinsWRHOU 69%– +69 30.826.0 HOU WR1 SECURE
drafted: Lewis Bond (R6)
AI: CAUTIONHealthy and back as the clear WR1 (7/8 for 118 and 2 TDs, team-high 36 of 53 snaps vs Dallas) with no new injury reported for Week 5, but the snap-share jump is an injury-return artifact and the 30.8 points were TD-driven on a managed 68% snap share, which is exactly the usage-regression profile flagged.
Eli RaridonTENE 58%– +58 2.24.5 NE TE2 BEHIND 1
ahead: Hunter Henry
AI: CAUTIONReturned from his bereavement absence in Week 4 and played ~58% of snaps (2 catches, 12 yds) but briefly left with an ankle injury and already carried a thigh designation; severity unannounced as of Monday. Hunter Henry (ankle, questionable last week) remains TE1, so Raridon stays a low-volume TE2 with his own health question.
Chig OkonkwoTEWAS 58%– +58 2.53.0 WAS TE1 SECURE
AI: CAUTIONThe snap jump is simply his return from a two-game hamstring absence; he logged 37 of 64 snaps and 25 routes as the clear TE1 over Ben Sinnott but produced only 2 catches for 5 yards with a third-string QB. Jayden Daniels' expected Week 5 return helps, but no actual role gain occurred.
Mitchell TinsleyWRCIN 53%– +53 7.97.9 CIN WR5 BEHIND 4
↗ filling in for Ja'Marr Chase — left game Q2 12:11
ahead: Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Colbie Young, Dohnte Meyers
drafted: Colbie Young (R4)
AI: CAUTIONCareer-high 40 snaps and 7 targets (3/49) after Ja'Marr Chase left with a concussion and Tee Higgins exited with an adductor injury. Chase is still in protocol and likely out vs Miami while Higgins is day-to-day, so Tinsley is a deep-league play for Week 5 only, competing with Dohnte Meyers and Colbie Young, and the role vanishes once Chase/Higgins return.
Tyler HuntleyQBBAL 48%– +48 4.14.1 BAL QB2 BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Lamar Jackson — left game Q2 00:12
ahead: Lamar Jackson
AI: CAUTIONLamar Jackson sprained his left ankle late in the first half vs Tennessee and left in a walking boot; Minter says only an 'outside chance' for Week 5 vs Atlanta and Huntley is taking first-team reps, but the sprain is not considered long-term or surgical, so Huntley's starts likely number 1-3 at most.
Jalen RoyalsWRKC 63%19% +44 0.02.7 KC WR3 BEHIND 2
ahead: Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy
AI: CAUTIONRoyals' snap bump came from Rashee Rice's Week 4 hamstring injury, but Rapoport calls the injury 'relatively minor' and the Chiefs are on their Week 5 bye with Rice expected back for Week 6; Royals also posted 0 fantasy points on the elevated snaps, so there is no actionable window.
Tank BigsbyRBPHI 48%4% +44 5.54.3 PHI RB4 BEHIND 3 IR · Abdomen
🚑 left game Q4 03:59
↗ filling in for Saquon Barkley — left game Q1 11:48
ahead: Saquon Barkley, Will Shipley, Dameon Pierce
AI: REMOVEBigsby's Week 4 fill-in snaps are moot: he suffered a core muscle injury late in the Rams game, needs surgery, and was placed on IR (out at least four games, earliest return Week 9). Will Shipley, not Bigsby, is the Eagles RB to act on while Barkley is out.

📉 Snap fallers

Biggest snap-share drops versus week 3.

PlayerPosTeam Snap% Prev Δ Pts STD PPG Current opportunity
Case KeenumQBCHI 1%100% -99 –24.5 CHI QB3 BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for Caleb Williams — Out (Hamstring)
ahead: Caleb Williams, Tyson Bagent
AI: BELONGSKeenum's drop from 100% to 1% is a real demotion, not Caleb Williams returning: Williams (Grade 2 hamstring) is ruled out for Week 5 vs Green Bay and still week-to-week, and Ben Johnson named Tyson Bagent the starter for a second straight week with Keenum as the backup.
Marcus MariotaQBWAS 16%100% -84 5.311.5 WAS QB2 BEHIND 1 OUT · Knee - MCL
🚑 left game Q1 07:05
ahead: Jayden Daniels
drafted: Athan Kaliakmanis (R7)
AI: BELONGSMariota sprained the MCL in his right knee in Week 4 and Dan Quinn says he will miss time with no timetable; meanwhile Jayden Daniels is cleared to practice fully and is expected to start Week 5 vs the Giants wearing an elbow brace, so Mariota's starting role is gone either way.
Ja'Marr ChaseWRCIN 20%100% -80 5.715.1 CIN WR1 SECURE
🚑 left game Q2 12:11
drafted: Colbie Young (R4)
AI: CAUTIONChase left the Week 4 loss at Jacksonville in the 2nd quarter and is in concussion protocol; Zac Taylor calls him day-to-day for Sunday at Miami, so this is a one-game, clear-the-protocol question rather than a multi-week absence, though he has not yet been cleared as of midweek.
Rashee RiceWRKC 10%77% -67 –12.7 KC WR1 SECURE QUESTIONABLE · Hamstring
AI: CAUTIONRice pulled his hamstring in Week 4 at Las Vegas and did not return, but Rapoport reports the injury is 'relatively minor' and he is expected back after the Chiefs' Week 5 bye, so the absence is likely zero missed games unless the hamstring lingers.
Saquon BarkleyRBPHI 7%72% -65 2.05.8 PHI RB1 SECURE OUT · Hamstring
🚑 left game Q1 11:48
AI: BELONGSBarkley strained his hamstring on his second carry vs the Rams (4 snaps total) and is officially week-to-week; he is expected to miss Week 5 vs Jacksonville in London and with Tank Bigsby on IR, Will Shipley is the last healthy RB. Reports say the injury is not long-term, so monitor Sirianni's Wednesday update for a Week 6+ return.
Ladd McConkeyWRLAC 34%88% -54 0.09.1 LAC WR1 SECURE QUESTIONABLE · Foot
drafted: Brenen Thompson (R4)
AI: BELONGSMcConkey entered Week 4 questionable with a foot injury, re-aggravated it vs Seattle and was ruled out in the 3rd quarter with 0 catches; Jim Harbaugh called him week-to-week and his Week 5 status vs Denver is in serious doubt (one report says closer to day-to-day), with Tre Harris the beneficiary.
Lamar JacksonQBBAL 52%100% -48 18.919.8 BAL QB1 SECURE OUT · Ankle
🚑 left game Q2 00:12
AI: BELONGSAnkle sprain suffered on the final play of the first half vs. Tennessee; NFL Network (Oct 6) says only an 'outside chance' to play Week 5 vs. Atlanta and he could miss multiple games, with Cooper Rush starting in the meantime. Not considered long-term or surgical, but a multi-week absence is the base case.
Payne DurhamTETB 8%55% -47 –0.0 TB TE2 BEHIND 1
ahead: Cade Otton
AI: REMOVEBlocking TE2 who was special-teams only in the Week 4 loss to Green Bay while a healthy Cade Otton led the team in receiving (4-37 on 6 targets); Durham had one catch all of 2025 and the Week 3 snap bump was a one-off. No fantasy role was lost.
Konata MumpfieldWRLA 27%73% -46 1.75.8 LA WR4 BEHIND 3
🚑 left game Q2 06:48 (returned)
ahead: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams, Jordan Whittington
AI: BELONGSThe shoulder is a minor rotator-cuff contusion (McVay not worried), but the real driver is Puka Nacua returning in Week 4, which pushed Mumpfield back to WR4 (3 targets, 1-7). With Nacua and Adams both healthy the role loss is structural, not injury-driven.
Rashod BatemanWRBAL 47%88% -41 6.68.5 BAL WR2 BEHIND 1
ahead: Zay Flowers
drafted: Ja'Kobi Lane (R3), Elijah Sarratt (R4)
AI: CAUTIONHealthy and efficient (2-46 on 2 targets) but Zay Flowers' return plus Devontez Walker jumping to 44 snaps dropped Bateman to 30 snaps vs. Tennessee. With Lamar Jackson likely out and Cooper Rush under center, the Ravens WR2 role is fragile either way.
Mack HollinsWRNE 41%76% -35 8.39.0 NE WR3 BEHIND 2 IR · Calf
🚑 left game Q3 10:13
ahead: Romeo Doubs, DeMario Douglas
AI: CAUTIONNon-contact calf injury in Q3 vs. Buffalo; Vrabel said (Oct 5) he may not be able to practice 'for a couple days' and his Week 5 status vs. the Raiders is iffy, with Efton Chism absorbing the role. Severity not yet defined - treat as likely a 1-2 week absence rather than a demotion.
Ted HurstWRTB 40%75% -35 4.56.7 TB WR3 BEHIND 2
ahead: Emeka Egbuka, Chris Godwin Jr.
AI: BELONGSSnap share fell from 74% to 40% because Chris Godwin returned in Week 4 (Egbuka 94%), not because of injury. With Godwin back and Baker Mayfield out for roughly three weeks (Jalon Daniels starting), Hurst is a healthy WR3 whose playing-time spike has ended.

💰 Usage ahead of points

Season-to-date role percentile well above scoring percentile — the snaps and touches are there, the points usually follow.

PlayerPosTeam STD Snap% Volume STD PPG G Role pct PPG pct Gap SoS pct Current opportunity
Courtland SuttonWRDEN 77% 22 4.44 66.221.0 +45.2 – DEN WR2 BEHIND 1
ahead: Jaylen Waddle
AI: CAUTIONVolume is real (6 targets, tied for team WR lead; 22 on the season) but he has 9-86-0 on those 22 targets, with Bo Nix repeatedly off-target in the 1-catch Week 4 loss at SF, and his snap share slid from 87% to 73% with Waddle as the 1A. The drought looks like a genuine QB/efficiency problem, not pure variance.
Quentin JohnstonWRLAC 80% 19 4.54 65.721.9 +43.8 – LAC WR2 BEHIND 1 OUT · Chest
ahead: Ladd McConkey
drafted: Brenen Thompson (R4)
AI: CAUTIONStill the clear WR2 by playing time (60/69 snaps, 37/43 routes) and Ladd McConkey aggravated his foot (day-to-day, likely misses at least Week 5), so the role holds short term. But he has 7-108-0 on 19 targets with a costly drop vs. Seattle, and Tre' Harris has led the Chargers in receiving two straight weeks.
Bryce LanceWRNO 76% 13 2.74 47.68.6 +39.0 – NO WR3 BEHIND 2
ahead: Chris Olave, Devaughn Vele
AI: CAUTIONRole is secure for now (85% snaps, 5 targets vs. ATL) with Jordyn Tyson not expected back until roughly Week 7-9, but Lance has 2 catches on 9 targets over the last three games and all four Week 4 misses with Tyler Shough were deep shots. Low scoring reflects a real connection/efficiency issue in a struggling passing game, and Tyson's return caps the window.
KC ConcepcionWRCLE 78% 28 7.64 76.242.9 +33.3 – CLE WR2 BEHIND 1 OUT · Concussion
ahead: Denzel Boston
drafted: KC Concepcion (R1), Denzel Boston (R2)
AI: BELONGSLed the Browns in targets again in Week 4 (5-of-8 for 64 yds vs PIT) and leads the team in receptions through 4 games; Monken keeps force-feeding him schemed touches. Low aDOT caps the ceiling but the volume is secure, so the missing points are TD/efficiency variance, not role.
Ryan FlournoyWRDAL 72% 23 5.84 63.330.5 +32.9 – DAL WR3 BEHIND 2
ahead: CeeDee Lamb, George Pickens
drafted: Anthony Smith (R7)
AI: CAUTIONLocked-in WR3/slot (4-of-5 for 37 yds in Week 4), but his 5 targets were a distant second to CeeDee Lamb's 21 on 45 Dak attempts. Routes are real; targets are a structural ceiling behind Lamb and Pickens, not bad luck.
Jauan JenningsWRMIN 74% 4 1.03 33.81.0 +32.9 – MIN WR3 BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for Jordan Addison — Out (Hamstring)
ahead: Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison
AI: REMOVEOnly 4 targets in 3 games even with Jefferson out, then missed Week 4 vs MIA (family death) while Hockenson soaked up 13 targets. Jefferson is aiming to return Week 5 vs NO, so the snap share never converted and the window is closing.
Charlie WoernerTEATL 57% 2 0.02 30.10.0 +30.1 – ATL TE2 BEHIND 1
ahead: Kyle Pitts Sr.
AI: REMOVEClassic blocking-TE screen misfire: out-snapped Pitts (61% vs 59%) in Week 4 but ran 26 routes for 2 targets and has 0 fantasy points on 2 targets in 2 games. Snaps are run-game snaps.
Cam SkatteboRBNYG 65% 68 11.14 78.048.0 +30.0 – NYG RB1 SECURE
AI: BELONGSClear lead back with 18 carries in the Week 4 win over ARI and out-touching next-closest Devin Singletary by 21 attempts; Harbaugh wants 20+ carries. Snap share dipped (Tracy on passing downs) and only 1 target, but the touch volume is secure and TDs/receiving should regress upward.
Makai LemonWRPHI 68% 15 4.04 46.216.2 +30.0 – PHI WR3 BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for DeVonta Smith — Out (Hamstring)
ahead: DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks
drafted: Makai Lemon (R1)
AI: CAUTIONDeVonta Smith (hamstring) didn't practice all of Week 4 and is 'questionable at very best' for Week 5 with a possible multi-game absence, so Lemon's role holds short-term. But he was third in the pecking order even with Smith out (3 catches; Cooper led targets) and Smith's return will cut his targets.
Jordan AddisonWRMIN 91% 22 8.34 79.052.4 +26.7 – MIN WR2 BEHIND 1 OUT · Hamstring
ahead: Justin Jefferson
AI: CAUTIONServed as WR1 with Jefferson out but managed just 4-of-6 for 52 yds in Week 4 while Hockenson drew 13 targets from Kyler Murray. Jefferson is hopeful to return Week 5 vs NO (KOC undecided), which pushes Addison back to WR2 with a capped target share.
Colston LovelandTECHI 86% 18 5.04 79.452.9 +26.5 – CHI TE1 SECURE
drafted: Sam Roush (R3)
AI: BELONGSLed the Bears with 9 targets (6-57) in Week 4 with Bagent, and Ben Johnson confirmed Bagent starts again Week 5 vs GB with Caleb Williams out 3-4 weeks (Grade 2 hamstring). 92% snaps, rising target share, zero TDs (ruled down at the 1 in Week 3) - textbook positive-regression profile.
Gunnar HelmTETEN 79% 12 4.24 67.641.2 +26.5 – TEN TE1 SECURE
drafted: Jaren Kanak (R7)
AI: CAUTIONHe is the Titans' TE1 after Okonkwo left, but only 12 targets in 4 games with a 1.8-yard aDOT, 58% route rate in Week 4, and no target from Cam Ward until the final drive vs BAL. The snaps are real but the scheme isn't throwing to him, so low scoring is a usage/scheme problem rather than variance.

⚠️ Points ahead of usage

Scoring percentile well above role percentile — touchdown- and big-play-driven starts that history says regress.

PlayerPosTeam STD Snap% Volume STD PPG G Role pct PPG pct Gap SoS pct Current opportunity
Zay FlowersWRBAL 45% 22 22.43 39.094.3 -55.2 – BAL WR1 SECURE
🚑 left game Q4 07:27 (returned)
drafted: Ja'Kobi Lane (R3), Elijah Sarratt (R4)
AI: REMOVEHis low season usage was a hamstring-driven snap count (33% in Week 3); in Week 4 vs TEN he played 73% of snaps and went 8-of-10 for 118 yards and a TD, so he is back to his full WR1 role and the usage numbers are stale.
Ian ThomasTELV 36% 3 6.72 12.563.2 -50.7 – LV TE3 BEHIND 2
ahead: Brock Bowers, Michael Mayer
AI: BELONGSStill the TE3 behind Brock Bowers and Michael Mayer on ~31% of snaps; his Week 4 line (2-of-2 for 32 yards and a 27-yard TD from Kirk Cousins) is pure TD-driven scoring on a tiny, stable role with Bowers healthy and leading the team.
Jordan WatkinsWRSF 33% 2 8.01 1.451.4 -50.0 – SF WR5 BEHIND 4
↗ filling in for Deebo Samuel — Out (Hamstring)
ahead: Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, Brandin Cooks, Jacob Cowing
AI: REMOVEOne-game sample: his 2-catch, 60-yard Week 3 came only because Mike Evans exited with a rib injury; Evans returned in Week 4 and led SF in catches and yards while Watkins ran just 8 routes for one 25-yard catch, so he has no real role.
Mark RedmanTEGB 31% 2 4.91 2.950.0 -47.1 – GB TE3 BEHIND 2
ahead: Tucker Kraft, Jonnu Smith
AI: REMOVEScreen misfired on a 4.9-point single game: his snap jump (25-28 snaps in Week 4) is as an in-line blocking TE behind Tucker Kraft (82% of snaps) and Jonnu Smith, with only two targets on the season.
Mike GesickiTECIN 45% 15 14.83 46.392.6 -46.3 – CIN TE1 SECURE
drafted: Jack Endries (R7)
AI: BELONGSLocked-in CIN TE1 at ~62% snaps, but his scoring is TD-driven: 3 TDs in 4 games (already his most since 2022) on only 15 targets; Week 4 was 3-of-5 for 40 and a TD, so sell high before the TD rate normalizes.
Deebo SamuelWRSF 61% 17 14.54 42.485.7 -43.3 – SF WR2 BEHIND 1 OUT · Hamstring
ahead: Mike Evans
AI: BELONGSSnap share slipped to 67% with Mike Evans back healthy and leading SF in targets/yards in Week 4; Deebo's points have come from fluky scores (an 80-yard lateral TD on zero targets in Week 3, then 5-of-6 for 26 yards plus a TD in Week 4), which is unsustainable on a secondary role.
Nico CollinsWRHOU 70% 18 26.02 55.297.1 -41.9 – HOU WR1 SECURE
drafted: Lewis Bond (R6)
AI: CAUTIONHealthy and back as the clear WR1 (7/8 for 118 and 2 TDs, team-high 36 of 53 snaps vs Dallas) with no new injury reported for Week 5, but the snap-share jump is an injury-return artifact and the 30.8 points were TD-driven on a managed 68% snap share, which is exactly the usage-regression profile flagged.
RJ HarveyRBDEN 44% 12 12.73 25.066.0 -41.0 – DEN RB2 BEHIND 1
ahead: J.K. Dobbins
drafted: Jonah Coleman (R4)
AI: CAUTIONRole is expanding, not fluky: in Week 4 vs SF he out-snapped J.K. Dobbins 29-21, caught all 10 targets for 68 yards (career highs) and had 7 carries, so his scoring is volume-driven and may be sustainable if he keeps leading the backfield in passing situations.

Sources: nflverse snap counts and weekly player stats, NFL Next Gen Stats weekly rows, depth charts and draft data (see the project's data source list). Edition generated 2026-10-13 20:05 UTC; earlier weeks stay as published. AI notes generated 2026-10-07 13:48 UTC by Claude with live news search.