Watch List — Week 7
2026 snap shares and PPR points through week 7 — who gained a role, who lost one, and whose usage is ahead of his scoring
How this week's list is built
Every skill player with a week 7 snap-count row is screened. Snap risers gained 15+ share points versus week 6; snap fallers lost 15+ share points. Usage ahead of points and points ahead of usage compare a player's season-to-date role (snap-share percentile, averaged with his targets, carries or attempts percentile when Next Gen Stats has him) against his season-to-date PPR points-per-game percentile, within his position, among RB/WR/TEs averaging at least 30% of snaps (quarterbacks all play every snap, so they only appear in the snap screens).
Chips: SECURE top of the depth chart, no premium rookie added · ROOKIE PRESSURE still #1 but a round 1–2 pick arrived · BEHIND N not the listed starter · OFF CHART not on any depth chart. Editions are frozen when published, so earlier weeks keep the lists they were published with.
What do these columns mean?
- Snap%
- Share of his team's offensive snaps this week.
- Prev / Δ
- Last week's snap share and the change in share points.
- Pts
- PPR fantasy points this week.
- STD Snap%
- Season-to-date average snap share over the weeks he has a row for.
- Volume
- Season-to-date targets (WR/TE), carries (RB) or pass attempts (QB) from Next Gen Stats; blank when NGS doesn't track him.
- STD PPG
- Season-to-date PPR points per game.
- Role pct
- Within-position percentile of his season-to-date usage (snap share, plus volume when available).
- PPG pct
- Within-position percentile of his season-to-date PPG.
- Gap
- Role pct minus PPG pct. Positive = usage says he should score more; negative = scoring is outrunning the usage.
- SoS pct
- Strength-of-schedule percentile among his position peers (100 = easiest slate) from the Defenses page.
- Current opportunity
- Listed depth chart slot, players listed ahead, rookies the team drafted at the position, and any AI vetting note.
📈 Snap risers
Biggest snap-share gains versus week 6.
| Player | Pos | Team | Snap% | Prev | Δ | Pts | STD PPG | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jared Goff | QB | DET | 100% | – | +100 | 18.0 | 22.2 | DET QB1 SECURE |
| Malik Willis | QB | MIA | 100% | – | +100 | 26.0 | 14.4 | MIA QB1 SECURE |
| Kyler Murray | QB | MIN | 100% | – | +100 | 13.9 | 10.7 | MIN QB1 SECURE QUESTIONABLE · Hamstring |
| Sam LaPorta | TE | DET | 97% | – | +97 | 2.8 | 13.2 | DET TE1 SECURE |
| Joe Burrow | QB | CIN | 94% | – | +94 | 28.9 | 21.7 | CIN QB1 SECURE |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 93% | – | +93 | 8.4 | 14.4 |
MIN WR1
SECURE
AI: REMOVERiser flag is just his return: he sat Week 4 with an ankle injury, then played 89% of snaps and went 6-79-1 in the Oct 11 win over the Saints. No role change for the Vikings' WR1; Minnesota is on bye in Week 6. |
| Jahmyr Gibbs | RB | DET | 90% | – | +90 | 17.3 | 28.5 |
DET RB1
SECURE
AI: CAUTIONDan Campbell is publicly planning a bell-cow workload under new OC Drew Petzing after Gibbs's hold-in ended with a new contract, which cuts against pure regression — but the boost is overall volume, not specifically receiving, and the new scheme leaves the receiving-TD question open. |
| Baker Mayfield | QB | TB | 90% | – | +90 | 6.7 | 10.4 | TB QB1 SECURE |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 87% | – | +87 | 17.2 | 16.2 |
CIN WR1
SECURE
drafted: Colbie Young (R4) AI: REMOVEWeek 4's 20% share was a Q2 concussion exit; he cleared protocol before kickoff Week 5 and went 6-77-1 on 10 targets at 89% snaps. No role change, just a return to his normal WR1 workload. Bengals are on bye Week 6. |
| Tee Higgins | WR | CIN | 87% | – | +87 | 26.8 | 17.0 |
CIN WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Ja'Marr Chase drafted: Colbie Young (R4) |
| Jameson Williams | WR | DET | 84% | – | +84 | 26.1 | 13.9 |
DET WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Amon-Ra St. Brown drafted: Kendrick Law (R5) |
| Ollie Gordon | RB | MIA | 83% | – | +83 | 17.3 | 13.1 | MIA RB1 SECURE |
📉 Snap fallers
Biggest snap-share drops versus week 6.
| Player | Pos | Team | Snap% | Prev | Δ | Pts | STD PPG | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalon Daniels | QB | TB | 10% | 100% | -90 | -0.3 | 7.0 |
TB QB2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Baker Mayfield AI: BELONGSTodd Bowles confirmed Daniels starts Thursday night at Dallas; Baker Mayfield's dislocated thumb (Sep 27) carries a minimum three-week timeline, so Daniels has Weeks 5-6 at least. Week 4 vs GB: 19/27, 148 yds, TD, 2 INT plus 55 rush yards (Bucs rookie QB record). |
| Jaleel McLaughlin | RB | CLE | 0% | 62% | -62 | 0.0 | 3.7 |
CLE RB3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Quinshon Judkins, Dylan Sampson |
| Tim Patrick | WR | NYJ | 12% | 69% | -57 | – | 3.5 |
NYJ WR4
BEHIND 3
ahead: Garrett Wilson, Omar Cooper Jr., Adonai Mitchell drafted: Omar Cooper (R1) AI: CAUTIONActivated from IR (groin) Oct 10 and immediately played 93% of snaps vs CLE because Adonai Mitchell (finger) is still week-to-week, but he drew only 3 targets (2-26) while Garrett Wilson dominated. Snaps are real but target volume is negligible and Mitchell's return would push him back to WR3/4. |
| Jameis Winston | QB | NYG | 8% | 60% | -52 | 6.4 | 10.9 |
NYG QB2
BEHIND 1
ahead: J.J. McCarthy |
| Pierre Strong | RB | GB | 12% | 55% | -43 | – | 8.2 |
GB RB3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Josh Jacobs, MarShawn Lloyd |
| Devontez Walker | WR | BAL | 30% | 65% | -35 | – | 3.5 |
BAL WR4
BEHIND 3
ahead: Zay Flowers, Rashod Bateman, Ja'Kobi Lane drafted: Ja'Kobi Lane (R3), Elijah Sarratt (R4) |
| Chuba Hubbard | RB | CAR | 61% | 94% | -33 | 10.0 | 18.0 | CAR RB1 SECURE |
| Christian McCaffrey | RB | SF | 52% | 85% | -33 | 22.0 | 20.6 |
SF RB1
SECURE
QUESTIONABLE · Calf
AI: CAUTIONThe bounce-back needs his 94th-percentile carry volume to hold, and that's in doubt: age-30 off 413 touches, missed camp time and all preseason with calf tightness, the 49ers explicitly planning to reduce his workload, and rookie Kaelon Black set for a real share. |
| Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | 64% | 95% | -31 | 11.8 | 10.0 |
PHI RB5
BEHIND 4
IR · Undisclosed
🚑 left game Q4 08:38 ↗ filling in for Tank Bigsby — IR (Abdomen) ahead: Saquon Barkley, Jaydon Blue, Tank Bigsby, Will Shipley AI: CAUTIONPromoted from the practice squad and became the lone healthy back after Will Shipley left before halftime (partial plantar fascia tear, out multiple weeks); 11-14 rushing, 2-5 for -2 receiving. Sirianni is 'hopeful' Barkley (hamstring) returns Week 6, which would push Pierce back to a handcuff role behind a bad offensive line. |
| Jahan Dotson | WR | ATL | 56% | 85% | -29 | 1.6 | 6.9 |
ATL WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Drake London drafted: Zachariah Branch (R3) |
| J.K. Dobbins | RB | DEN | 23% | 52% | -29 | 8.3 | 8.3 |
DEN RB1
SECURE
drafted: Jonah Coleman (R4) AI: BELONGSReinforced: despite topping Denver's first depth chart, the backfield is a crowded committee with rookie Jonah Coleman impressing plus RJ Harvey — analysts openly call Dobbins a 'September rental,' so his 91st-percentile efficiency is unlikely to survive both regression and shrinking touches. |
| George Pickens | WR | DAL | 60% | 88% | -28 | 15.7 | 13.9 |
DAL WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: CeeDee Lamb drafted: Anthony Smith (R7) |
💰 Usage ahead of points
Season-to-date role percentile well above scoring percentile — the snaps and touches are there, the points usually follow.
| Player | Pos | Team | STD Snap% | Volume | STD PPG | G | Role pct | PPG pct | Gap | SoS pct | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Otton | TE | TB | 94% | 30 | 5.4 | 7 | 83.9 | 45.2 | +38.7 | 9 TOUGH SLATE | TB TE1 SECURE |
| Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 78% | 17 | 3.7 | 6 | 65.3 | 27.4 | +37.9 | 7 TOUGH SLATE |
TEN TE1
SECURE
drafted: Jaren Kanak (R7) AI: CAUTIONThe snap share (71% Week 5, ~79% season) is real as the TE1 after Chig Okonkwo left, but it's heavy blocking usage: 13 targets in 5 games (9% share), zero red-zone targets, and 0-for-1 in the Oct 11 loss to Houston. He was also limited Oct 8 with a knee issue. Usage is not converting to routes/targets, so the buy case is thin. |
| Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 68% | 22 | 3.3 | 7 | 46.7 | 14.3 | +32.4 | 56 |
NO WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Chris Olave, Devaughn Vele AI: BELONGSFell from 84% to 42% of snaps because Noah Fant's return pushed the Saints into more 2- and 3-TE sets, and he went 0-3 on targets (two catches on 12 targets over his last four games). Jordyn Tyson (IR, hamstring) is eligible back Week 7-9, so this is a real downward role trend, not a fluke; the usage-buy tag misfires. |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 70% | 8 | 1.7 | 5 | 32.4 | 1.1 | +31.3 | – |
MIN WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison AI: REMOVEUsage-buy misfire: 49 snaps as the Addison fill-in but 1 target and 0 catches, giving him 2 catches on 5 targets all season despite a 73% snap share; Vikings beat writers call the snaps inefficient and expect Jeshaun Jones to take some after the Week 6 bye. Addison (hamstring) practiced Friday and should be back Week 7. |
| AJ Barner | TE | SEA | 88% | 29 | 6.2 | 7 | 80.6 | 51.6 | +29.0 | 80 | SEA TE1 SECURE |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 77% | 33 | 5.5 | 7 | 62.1 | 34.1 | +28.0 | 8 TOUGH SLATE |
DEN WR2
BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Jaylen Waddle — left game Q4 04:51 ahead: Jaylen Waddle AI: CAUTIONUsage is stable (78-81% snaps) but targets have dropped from 7.6/game to 5.0 since the Jaylen Waddle trade; Week 5 was 2-of-3 for 18 yds and his first TD. The role is real and he remains the red-zone target, so modest positive regression is plausible, but Payton's offense and Waddle cap the upside; buy only cheaply. |
| Laquon Treadwell | WR | IND | 74% | 26 | 5.0 | 7 | 55.5 | 28.6 | +26.9 | 39 |
IND WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Josh Downs, Keenan Allen drafted: Deion Burks (R7) |
| Tyler Allgeier | RB | ARI | 52% | 61 | 6.9 | 7 | 43.2 | 18.2 | +25.0 | 34 |
ARI RB2
BEHIND 1
↗ filling in for Jeremiyah Love — IR (Ankle) ahead: Jeremiyah Love drafted: Jeremiyah Love (R1) |
| D.K. Metcalf | WR | PIT | 95% | 58 | 10.9 | 7 | 94.0 | 69.2 | +24.7 | 32 |
PIT WR1
ROOKIE PRESSURE
drafted: Germie Bernard (R2), Kaden Wetjen (R4) |
| Cole Kmet | TE | CHI | 61% | 14 | 3.5 | 7 | 49.2 | 25.8 | +23.4 | 2 TOUGH SLATE |
CHI TE4
BEHIND 3
IR · Knee
🚑 left game Q4 05:46 ↗ filling in for Hayden Large — IR (Undisclosed) ahead: Colston Loveland, Sam Roush, Hayden Large drafted: Sam Roush (R3) |
| Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 85% | 42 | 8.9 | 7 | 89.5 | 66.1 | +23.4 | 0 TOUGH SLATE |
CHI TE1
SECURE
drafted: Sam Roush (R3) AI: BELONGSSecure Bears TE1 at 80-92% snaps with 23 targets+carries and zero TDs on 13 catches (110 yds); he was Chicago's most-targeted player in Week 4 and got 5 targets in the 31-7 Week 5 blowout loss. Volume is real and TD regression is positive, though analysts call him 'difficult to trust' week-to-week; a legitimate buy-low. |
| Justice Hill | RB | BAL | 43% | 21 | 5.1 | 7 | 27.3 | 4.5 | +22.7 | 70 |
BAL RB2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Derrick Henry drafted: Adam Randall (R5) |
⚠️ Points ahead of usage
Scoring percentile well above role percentile — touchdown- and big-play-driven starts that history says regress.
| Player | Pos | Team | STD Snap% | Volume | STD PPG | G | Role pct | PPG pct | Gap | SoS pct | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Quitoriano | TE | ARI | 40% | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | 9.7 | 93.5 | -83.9 | – |
ARI TE3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Trey McBride, Elijah Higgins AI: REMOVETwo targets, two short red-zone TDs from Brissett in a 45-21 blowout loss to Detroit with Trey McBride healthy and playing; only his third and fourth catches since 2023. RotoWire calls it an anomaly with no fantasy value going forward, so there is nothing to regress from. |
| Omar Cooper | WR | NYJ | 51% | 13 | 16.3 | 3 | 19.8 | 89.0 | -69.2 | – |
NYJ WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Garrett Wilson drafted: Omar Cooper (R1) |
| Josh Jacobs | RB | GB | 52% | 11 | 20.1 | 1 | 26.1 | 88.6 | -62.5 | – | GB RB1 SECURE |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 44% | 18 | 11.9 | 5 | 39.5 | 88.7 | -49.2 | – |
CIN TE1
SECURE
drafted: Jack Endries (R7) AI: BELONGSReal regression signal: 4 TDs on 17 targets while playing 28 snaps (45%) vs Miami with 1 catch for 4 yards on 2 targets, as Erick All's role grows (33 snaps). Tanner Hudson's season-ending torn pec frees a few routes after the Week 6 bye, but Gesicki already runs 78% of routes, so his scoring is TD-dependent and a sell-high. |
| Jaylin Noel | WR | HOU | 43% | 23 | 9.5 | 7 | 28.0 | 65.9 | -37.9 | 96 SOFT SLATE |
HOU WR7
BEHIND 6
IR · Toe
↗ filling in for Jayden Higgins — IR (Knee - ACL) ahead: Nico Collins, Marvin Harrison Jr., Xavier Hutchinson, Tank Dell, Kayshon Boutte, Jayden Higgins drafted: Lewis Bond (R6) |
| Nate Adkins | TE | DEN | 32% | 5 | 5.2 | 4 | 6.5 | 43.5 | -37.1 | – |
DEN TE3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Evan Engram, Adam Trautman drafted: Justin Joly (R5), Dallen Bentley (R7) |
| Savion Williams | WR | GB | 56% | 7 | 8.1 | 2 | 18.1 | 54.9 | -36.8 | – |
GB WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Christian Watson, Matthew Golden |
| RJ Harvey | RB | DEN | 39% | 24 | 11.2 | 6 | 23.9 | 52.3 | -28.4 | 37 |
DEN RB3
BEHIND 2
IR · Knee
ahead: J.K. Dobbins, Jonah Coleman drafted: Jonah Coleman (R4) AI: CAUTIONRole is expanding, not fluky: in Week 4 vs SF he out-snapped J.K. Dobbins 29-21, caught all 10 targets for 68 yards (career highs) and had 7 carries, so his scoring is volume-driven and may be sustainable if he keeps leading the backfield in passing situations. |
Sources: nflverse snap counts and weekly player stats, NFL Next Gen Stats weekly rows, depth charts and draft data (see the project's data source list). Edition generated 2026-11-04 20:39 UTC; earlier weeks stay as published. AI notes generated 2026-10-13 23:54 UTC by Claude with live news search.