Watch List — Week 5
2026 snap shares and PPR points through week 5 — who gained a role, who lost one, and whose usage is ahead of his scoring
How this week's list is built
Every skill player with a week 5 snap-count row is screened. Snap risers gained 15+ share points versus week 4; snap fallers lost 15+ share points. Usage ahead of points and points ahead of usage compare a player's season-to-date role (snap-share percentile, averaged with his targets, carries or attempts percentile when Next Gen Stats has him) against his season-to-date PPR points-per-game percentile, within his position, among RB/WR/TEs averaging at least 30% of snaps (quarterbacks all play every snap, so they only appear in the snap screens).
Chips: SECURE top of the depth chart, no premium rookie added · ROOKIE PRESSURE still #1 but a round 1–2 pick arrived · BEHIND N not the listed starter · OFF CHART not on any depth chart. Editions are frozen when published, so earlier weeks keep the lists they were published with.
What do these columns mean?
- Snap%
- Share of his team's offensive snaps this week.
- Prev / Δ
- Last week's snap share and the change in share points.
- Pts
- PPR fantasy points this week.
- STD Snap%
- Season-to-date average snap share over the weeks he has a row for.
- Volume
- Season-to-date targets (WR/TE), carries (RB) or pass attempts (QB) from Next Gen Stats; blank when NGS doesn't track him.
- STD PPG
- Season-to-date PPR points per game.
- Role pct
- Within-position percentile of his season-to-date usage (snap share, plus volume when available).
- PPG pct
- Within-position percentile of his season-to-date PPG.
- Gap
- Role pct minus PPG pct. Positive = usage says he should score more; negative = scoring is outrunning the usage.
- SoS pct
- Strength-of-schedule percentile among his position peers (100 = easiest slate) from the Defenses page.
- Current opportunity
- Listed depth chart slot, players listed ahead, rookies the team drafted at the position, and any AI vetting note.
📈 Snap risers
Biggest snap-share gains versus week 4.
| Player | Pos | Team | Snap% | Prev | Δ | Pts | STD PPG | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Daniels | QB | WAS | 100% | – | +100 | 32.3 | 21.6 |
WAS QB1
SECURE
drafted: Athan Kaliakmanis (R7) AI: REMOVESnap share went 0 to 100% only because he returned from a two-game absence (dislocated left elbow, Week 2); he played the full 27-27 tie vs. NYG in a brace (199 pass yds, 103 rush yds, 2 TD). No role change, just the QB1 back; only risk is the recurring elbow (likely offseason surgery). |
| Tim Patrick | WR | NYJ | 93% | – | +93 | 4.6 | 4.6 |
NYJ WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Garrett Wilson, Adonai Mitchell drafted: Omar Cooper (R1) AI: CAUTIONActivated from IR (groin) Oct 10 and immediately played 93% of snaps vs CLE because Adonai Mitchell (finger) is still week-to-week, but he drew only 3 targets (2-26) while Garrett Wilson dominated. Snaps are real but target volume is negligible and Mitchell's return would push him back to WR3/4. |
| Justin Jefferson | WR | MIN | 89% | – | +89 | 18.8 | 15.9 |
MIN WR1
SECURE
AI: REMOVERiser flag is just his return: he sat Week 4 with an ankle injury, then played 89% of snaps and went 6-79-1 in the Oct 11 win over the Saints. No role change for the Vikings' WR1; Minnesota is on bye in Week 6. |
| Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | 77% | – | +77 | 3.2 | 3.2 |
PHI RB3
BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for Will Shipley — IR (Foot) ahead: Saquon Barkley, Will Shipley AI: CAUTIONPromoted from the practice squad and became the lone healthy back after Will Shipley left before halftime (partial plantar fascia tear, out multiple weeks); 11-14 rushing, 2-5 for -2 receiving. Sirianni is 'hopeful' Barkley (hamstring) returns Week 6, which would push Pierce back to a handcuff role behind a bad offensive line. |
| Charlie Kolar | TE | LAC | 76% | – | +76 | 4.7 | 3.3 |
LAC TE1
SECURE
AI: CAUTIONReturned from IR (forearm) in Week 5 and immediately took 76% of snaps, leading LAC in receiving (3-of-4, 37 yds, lost fumble) with Njoku on IR and Gadsden bumped to TE2. Role should persist, and WRs Harris, Johnston and Thompson are all hurt, but the Herbert offense is sputtering (121 pass yds), so the ceiling is low. |
| Ja'Marr Chase | WR | CIN | 89% | 20% | +69 | 19.7 | 16.0 |
CIN WR1
SECURE
drafted: Colbie Young (R4) AI: REMOVEWeek 4's 20% share was a Q2 concussion exit; he cleared protocol before kickoff Week 5 and went 6-77-1 on 10 targets at 89% snaps. No role change, just a return to his normal WR1 workload. Bengals are on bye Week 6. |
| Dallas Goedert | TE | PHI | 69% | – | +69 | 9.8 | 11.6 |
PHI TE1
ROOKIE PRESSURE
drafted: Eli Stowers (R2) AI: REMOVEFlag is a return-from-injury artifact: Goedert missed Weeks 3-4 with a knee (MCL) issue, came back Oct 11 vs Jacksonville with no designation and posted team-high 9 targets (6-38) on 69% of snaps. He was already the TE1, so nothing changed; he's simply back in lineups for Week 6 vs Carolina. |
| Noah Fant | TE | NO | 67% | – | +67 | 1.7 | 8.6 |
NO TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Juwan Johnson AI: REMOVEShare rose only because he returned from the abdominal injury that kept him out in Week 4; 30 of 45 snaps in a 45-play game with 1 target, 7 yards and a unit-low 39.8 PFF grade. No role change, Juwan Johnson still leads the TE room in targets. |
| Colby Parkinson | TE | LA | 65% | – | +65 | 1.3 | 1.6 |
LA TE1
SECURE
AI: REMOVEThe 65% snap share is simply his return from a one-game shoulder/knee absence; he managed 1.3 PPR points while Tyler Higbee (5-83) kept the pass-catching TE role in the OT loss to Buffalo. Parkinson is the blocking TE1 with 7 targets in 4 games; beat writers say he has regressed badly, so the usage-buy flag is a snap-share artifact. |
| Theo Wease | WR | LAC | 64% | – | +64 | 2.6 | 2.6 |
LAC WR6
BEHIND 5
↗ filling in for Ladd McConkey — Out (Concussion) ahead: Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston, Tre' Harris, Brenen Thompson, Marquez Valdes-Scantling drafted: Brenen Thompson (R4) AI: CAUTIONPromoted from the practice squad Oct 10 and played 64% of snaps only because Quentin Johnston (chest) and Brenen Thompson (quad) were out, Ladd McConkey (foot) was active but took zero snaps, and Tre' Harris left Q3 with a hamstring. He saw 1 target (1-16); if the WR room stays this thin he plays again Week 6, but the production is pure attrition depth. |
| Skyler Bell | WR | BUF | 61% | – | +61 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
BUF WR6
BEHIND 5
↗ filling in for DJ Moore — Out (Shoulder - AC Joint) ahead: DJ Moore, Khalil Shakir, Keon Coleman, Joshua Palmer, Greg Dortch drafted: Skyler Bell (R4) AI: CAUTIONRookie made his debut Oct 12 at the Rams (65% snaps) only because DJ Moore (AC joint) and Joshua Palmer (shoulder) were both inactive; he ran just 14 routes (48%) and went 0-for-2 with a holding penalty. Moore's estimated return is Oct 18, so the snaps likely evaporate as soon as Moore/Palmer are back. |
| Isaiah Bond | WR | CLE | 72% | 11% | +61 | 10.4 | 4.5 |
CLE WR4
BEHIND 3
↗ filling in for KC Concepcion — left game Q1 04:59 ahead: Denzel Boston, KC Concepcion, Jerry Jeudy drafted: KC Concepcion (R1), Denzel Boston (R2) AI: CAUTIONSnap share jumped because KC Concepcion left in Q1 with a concussion (Minkah Fitzpatrick hit) and Bond took over the Z spot, posting 3-7-74 with costly drops. Concepcion is in protocol for Week 6 vs Baltimore, so Bond holds the role only until he clears; Jeudy trade chatter is the longer-term upside. |
📉 Snap fallers
Biggest snap-share drops versus week 4.
| Player | Pos | Team | Snap% | Prev | Δ | Pts | STD PPG | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Hockenson | TE | MIN | 3% | 83% | -80 | 1.7 | 9.8 |
MIN TE1
SECURE
QUESTIONABLE · Concussion
🚑 left game Q1 14:22 drafted: Max Bredeson (R5) AI: REMOVESnap share collapsed because he suffered a concussion on his first catch of Week 5 vs. NO and was ruled out, not because of any role change. Minnesota is on bye Week 6, giving him until Oct 25 vs. IND to clear protocol; he remains the TE1 when healthy. |
| KC Concepcion | WR | CLE | 16% | 92% | -76 | 1.5 | 6.4 |
CLE WR2
BEHIND 1
🚑 left game Q1 04:59 ahead: Denzel Boston drafted: KC Concepcion (R1), Denzel Boston (R2) AI: REMOVESnap share collapsed because he left in Q1 after a helmet-to-helmet hit from Minkah Fitzpatrick and was ruled out with a head injury; Sleeper lists him Out (concussion) as of Oct 13. Injury-driven faller, not a role change; monitor protocol ahead of Week 6 vs Baltimore. |
| Dohnte Meyers | WR | CIN | 29% | 89% | -60 | 3.2 | 5.6 |
CIN WR4
BEHIND 3
ahead: Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Colbie Young drafted: Colbie Young (R4) AI: REMOVEHis 89% Week 4 share came with Chase (concussion) and Higgins (adductor) out; both returned Oct 11 at Miami and Meyers fell to 29% with no meaningful receiving role (his impact was an 81-yard kick return). Bengals are on bye Week 6; he's back to WR4/returner. |
| Kenyon Sadiq | TE | NYJ | 19% | 69% | -50 | 0.3 | 7.8 |
NYJ TE1
ROOKIE PRESSURE
drafted: Kenyon Sadiq (R1) AI: REMOVEScreen misfired: the snap drop came from his own in-game concussion (last snap 5:57 Q3 vs Browns, 2-3-3 plus a lost fumble). Glenn said Monday he remains in protocol; Mason Taylor fills in and Sadiq's role is intact whenever he clears, likely Week 7. |
| Tre Harris | WR | LAC | 45% | 93% | -48 | 3.6 | 7.5 |
LAC WR3
BEHIND 2
OUT · Hamstring
↗ filling in for Ladd McConkey — Out (Concussion) ahead: Ladd McConkey, Quentin Johnston drafted: Brenen Thompson (R4) AI: REMOVESnap share fell to 45% because he left the Week 5 loss to DEN with a hamstring injury (2-of-4, 16 yds) and did not return; Harbaugh called him week-to-week Monday, and with a Week 7 bye he is expected back around Week 8. Screen misfire: an injury, not a benching, though McConkey's return will squeeze his role. |
| Johnny Mundt | TE | PHI | 32% | 80% | -48 | 0.0 | 1.1 |
PHI TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Dallas Goedert drafted: Eli Stowers (R2) AI: REMOVESnaps dropped from 80% to 32% because Dallas Goedert returned from his MCL sprain in Week 5 and immediately led the Eagles with 6 catches on 9 targets. Mundt reverts to a blocking TE2 with no fantasy relevance; the 'usage buy' flag was an artifact of his two weeks as a fill-in. |
| Isaac TeSlaa | WR | DET | 39% | 82% | -43 | 0.0 | 5.5 |
DET WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams drafted: Kendrick Law (R5) AI: CAUTIONWeek 4's 82% was the outlier (Brock Wright dipped to 35%); in the 45-21 Week 5 rout of Arizona the Lions leaned on 12 personnel (Wright 67%) and TeSlaa fell to 39% with 2 targets, 0 catches. No injury involved, so this is a genuine downgrade: he's a rotational WR3 whose snaps depend on Wright's usage and game script. |
| Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 42% | 85% | -43 | 0.0 | 2.1 |
NO WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Chris Olave, Devaughn Vele AI: BELONGSFell from 84% to 42% of snaps because Noah Fant's return pushed the Saints into more 2- and 3-TE sets, and he went 0-3 on targets (two catches on 12 targets over his last four games). Jordyn Tyson (IR, hamstring) is eligible back Week 7-9, so this is a real downward role trend, not a fluke; the usage-buy tag misfires. |
| David Montgomery | RB | HOU | 14% | 56% | -42 | 1.1 | 9.1 |
HOU RB1
SECURE
QUESTIONABLE · Groin
AI: CAUTIONPlayed 14% of snaps because he left the Week 5 win at TEN with a groin injury midway through Q2; DeMeco Ryans called him week-to-week and he is doubtful for Week 6 in London. Woody Marks takes the lead role, and with Montgomery averaging 2.4 YPC since Week 1, Marks could keep passing-down work even after he returns. |
| Jordan Whittington | WR | LA | 13% | 50% | -37 | 0.0 | 1.1 |
LA WR3
BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for Davante Adams — IR (Hamstring) ahead: Puka Nacua, Davante Adams AI: REMOVEFell to 13% of snaps because Puka Nacua is back healthy (returned Week 4) and Konata Mumpfield is the clear WR3 (49% season share vs Whittington's 30%). The 'listed starter' label is a stale depth chart; he's a kick returner with 2 catches on the season. |
| Chris Manhertz | TE | NYG | 15% | 52% | -37 | – | 0.0 |
OFF CHART
AI: REMOVEBlocking TE3 with zero targets all season; his 52% in Week 4 was the fluke, and Week 5 (13 snaps, 15%) returned him to his normal depth role behind Isaiah Likely (80%) and Theo Johnson (48%). No fantasy relevance in any format. |
| Tyson Bagent | QB | CHI | 67% | 100% | -33 | 1.2 | 4.1 |
CHI QB2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Caleb Williams AI: REMOVEShare dropped because he was benched for Case Keenum in Q4 trailing 31-7 after 12-21 for 87 yards and 2 INTs. Caleb Williams practiced Friday and is pushing to return Week 6 vs Atlanta; even if not, Keenum is the likelier starter, so Bagent has no path. |
💰 Usage ahead of points
Season-to-date role percentile well above scoring percentile — the snaps and touches are there, the points usually follow.
| Player | Pos | Team | STD Snap% | Volume | STD PPG | G | Role pct | PPG pct | Gap | SoS pct | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dameon Pierce | RB | PHI | 77% | 11 | 3.2 | 1 | 52.2 | 6.5 | +45.7 | – |
PHI RB3
BEHIND 2
↗ filling in for Will Shipley — IR (Foot) ahead: Saquon Barkley, Will Shipley AI: CAUTIONPromoted from the practice squad and became the lone healthy back after Will Shipley left before halftime (partial plantar fascia tear, out multiple weeks); 11-14 rushing, 2-5 for -2 receiving. Sirianni is 'hopeful' Barkley (hamstring) returns Week 6, which would push Pierce back to a handcuff role behind a bad offensive line. |
| Courtland Sutton | WR | DEN | 78% | 25 | 5.5 | 5 | 65.3 | 27.6 | +37.8 | – |
DEN WR2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Jaylen Waddle AI: CAUTIONUsage is stable (78-81% snaps) but targets have dropped from 7.6/game to 5.0 since the Jaylen Waddle trade; Week 5 was 2-of-3 for 18 yds and his first TD. The role is real and he remains the red-zone target, so modest positive regression is plausible, but Payton's offense and Waddle cap the upside; buy only cheaply. |
| Colston Loveland | TE | CHI | 85% | 23 | 4.8 | 5 | 81.9 | 44.9 | +37.0 | – |
CHI TE1
SECURE
drafted: Sam Roush (R3) AI: BELONGSSecure Bears TE1 at 80-92% snaps with 23 targets+carries and zero TDs on 13 catches (110 yds); he was Chicago's most-targeted player in Week 4 and got 5 targets in the 31-7 Week 5 blowout loss. Volume is real and TD regression is positive, though analysts call him 'difficult to trust' week-to-week; a legitimate buy-low. |
| Bryce Lance | WR | NO | 69% | 16 | 2.1 | 5 | 43.9 | 7.1 | +36.7 | – |
NO WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Chris Olave, Devaughn Vele AI: BELONGSFell from 84% to 42% of snaps because Noah Fant's return pushed the Saints into more 2- and 3-TE sets, and he went 0-3 on targets (two catches on 12 targets over his last four games). Jordyn Tyson (IR, hamstring) is eligible back Week 7-9, so this is a real downward role trend, not a fluke; the usage-buy tag misfires. |
| Colby Parkinson | TE | LA | 64% | 7 | 1.6 | 4 | 49.3 | 13.0 | +36.2 | – |
LA TE1
SECURE
AI: REMOVEThe 65% snap share is simply his return from a one-game shoulder/knee absence; he managed 1.3 PPR points while Tyler Higbee (5-83) kept the pass-catching TE role in the OT loss to Buffalo. Parkinson is the blocking TE1 with 7 targets in 4 games; beat writers say he has regressed badly, so the usage-buy flag is a snap-share artifact. |
| Gunnar Helm | TE | TEN | 78% | 13 | 3.4 | 5 | 68.1 | 31.9 | +36.2 | – |
TEN TE1
SECURE
drafted: Jaren Kanak (R7) AI: CAUTIONThe snap share (71% Week 5, ~79% season) is real as the TE1 after Chig Okonkwo left, but it's heavy blocking usage: 13 targets in 5 games (9% share), zero red-zone targets, and 0-for-1 in the Oct 11 loss to Houston. He was also limited Oct 8 with a knee issue. Usage is not converting to routes/targets, so the buy case is thin. |
| Jauan Jennings | WR | MIN | 73% | 5 | 0.7 | 4 | 35.2 | 2.0 | +33.2 | – |
MIN WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison AI: REMOVEUsage-buy misfire: 49 snaps as the Addison fill-in but 1 target and 0 catches, giving him 2 catches on 5 targets all season despite a 73% snap share; Vikings beat writers call the snaps inefficient and expect Jeshaun Jones to take some after the Week 6 bye. Addison (hamstring) practiced Friday and should be back Week 7. |
| Makai Lemon | WR | PHI | 70% | 22 | 5.1 | 5 | 54.1 | 22.4 | +31.6 | – |
PHI WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: DeVonta Smith, Dontayvion Wicks drafted: Makai Lemon (R1) AI: BELONGSRookie first-rounder posted career highs (5-of-7, 43 yds) on 81% of snaps in Week 5 vs. JAX, second on the team in targets with DeVonta Smith out a second straight game (hamstring, no Week 6 timetable yet). He was already a 65%+ snap player with Smith healthy, so the slot role should hold; low YPT is why points lag usage, a fair dynasty buy. |
| Charlie Woerner | TE | ATL | 59% | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 34.8 | 4.3 | +30.4 | – |
ATL TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Kyle Pitts Sr. AI: REMOVEHis 58-66% snap share comes from Atlanta's heavy two-TE sets alongside a healthy Kyle Pitts, but he has 4 touches in 3 games and is used almost exclusively as a blocker. High snaps with no target role is not a buy signal. |
| Dawson Knox | TE | BUF | 69% | 9 | 3.3 | 5 | 59.4 | 29.0 | +30.4 | – |
BUF TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Dalton Kincaid AI: REMOVEHis 68-70% snaps are 12/13-personnel blocking reps: he ran 12 routes (41%) vs the Rams on Oct 12 and has 9 targets all season while Dalton Kincaid runs the receiving routes (66% Week 5). Snap share here does not signal fantasy usage; the screen misread a blocker. |
| Tim Patrick | WR | NYJ | 93% | 3 | 4.6 | 1 | 50.5 | 20.4 | +30.1 | – |
NYJ WR3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Garrett Wilson, Adonai Mitchell drafted: Omar Cooper (R1) AI: CAUTIONActivated from IR (groin) Oct 10 and immediately played 93% of snaps vs CLE because Adonai Mitchell (finger) is still week-to-week, but he drew only 3 targets (2-26) while Garrett Wilson dominated. Snaps are real but target volume is negligible and Mitchell's return would push him back to WR3/4. |
| Johnny Mundt | TE | PHI | 53% | 5 | 1.1 | 4 | 34.1 | 7.2 | +26.8 | – |
PHI TE2
BEHIND 1
ahead: Dallas Goedert drafted: Eli Stowers (R2) AI: REMOVESnaps dropped from 80% to 32% because Dallas Goedert returned from his MCL sprain in Week 5 and immediately led the Eagles with 6 catches on 9 targets. Mundt reverts to a blocking TE2 with no fantasy relevance; the 'usage buy' flag was an artifact of his two weeks as a fill-in. |
⚠️ Points ahead of usage
Scoring percentile well above role percentile — touchdown- and big-play-driven starts that history says regress.
| Player | Pos | Team | STD Snap% | Volume | STD PPG | G | Role pct | PPG pct | Gap | SoS pct | Current opportunity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teagan Quitoriano | TE | ARI | 41% | 2 | 15.5 | 1 | 13.0 | 94.2 | -81.2 | – |
ARI TE3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Trey McBride, Elijah Higgins AI: REMOVETwo targets, two short red-zone TDs from Brissett in a 45-21 blowout loss to Detroit with Trey McBride healthy and playing; only his third and fourth catches since 2023. RotoWire calls it an anomaly with no fantasy value going forward, so there is nothing to regress from. |
| Jordan Watkins | WR | SF | 34% | 2 | 8.0 | 1 | 3.1 | 51.0 | -48.0 | – |
SF WR5
BEHIND 4
↗ filling in for Deebo Samuel — left game Q3 05:06 ahead: Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, Brandin Cooks, Jacob Cowing AI: REMOVEThe regression flag is a one-game artifact: his 8.0 PPG is a single Sept 29 game (2-of-2, 60 yds on 15 snaps), and he went targetless on 37% of snaps in Week 5. If anything his role grows, since Deebo Samuel left the Week 5 win at SEA with a hamstring injury and Shanahan says he is out 'at least a couple of weeks.' |
| Mark Redman | TE | GB | 32% | 2 | 4.9 | 1 | 2.9 | 46.4 | -43.5 | – |
GB TE3
BEHIND 2
ahead: Tucker Kraft, Jonnu Smith AI: REMOVEOne scoring game inflates a 1-game 4.9 PPG sample; he's a 21-25 snap blocking/special-teams TE splitting the TE2 role with Jonnu Smith behind Tucker Kraft, with 2 total touches. Nothing to regress from because there is no fantasy role. |
| Zay Flowers | WR | BAL | 54% | 31 | 20.4 | 4 | 51.5 | 92.9 | -41.3 | – |
BAL WR1
SECURE
drafted: Ja'Kobi Lane (R3), Elijah Sarratt (R4) AI: REMOVEThe low usage percentile is an artifact of his early hamstring ramp-up (31% snaps across his first two games, missed Week 2); since Week 4 he's at 73-82% with 9-10 targets per game, including 8-of-9 for 53 yards with Tyler Huntley on Oct 11. Current usage supports the scoring, and Lamar Jackson (ankle) may return Week 6 at Cleveland. |
| Mike Gesicki | TE | CIN | 45% | 17 | 13.0 | 4 | 47.8 | 87.0 | -39.1 | – |
CIN TE1
SECURE
drafted: Jack Endries (R7) AI: BELONGSReal regression signal: 4 TDs on 17 targets while playing 28 snaps (45%) vs Miami with 1 catch for 4 yards on 2 targets, as Erick All's role grows (33 snaps). Tanner Hudson's season-ending torn pec frees a few routes after the Week 6 bye, but Gesicki already runs 78% of routes, so his scoring is TD-dependent and a sell-high. |
| Mitchell Tinsley | WR | CIN | 36% | 7 | 7.9 | 1 | 9.7 | 48.0 | -38.3 | – |
CIN WR5
BEHIND 4
ahead: Ja'Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Colbie Young, Dohnte Meyers drafted: Colbie Young (R4) AI: REMOVEHis 7.9 PPG is one game (3-of-7, 49 yds in Week 4 with Chase and Higgins hurt); both returned for Week 5 at MIA and Tinsley fell to 20% of snaps with no production. The regression already happened, and with Colbie Young also nearing a return he has no standalone role. |
| Deebo Samuel | WR | SF | 58% | 20 | 12.1 | 5 | 39.8 | 76.5 | -36.7 | – |
SF WR2
BEHIND 1
OUT · Hamstring
🚑 left game Q3 05:06 ahead: Mike Evans AI: CAUTIONThe regression flag is legitimate (12.1 PPG on a ~40th-percentile usage profile behind Mike Evans), but he left Week 5 vs Seattle in Q3 with a hamstring and Shanahan said Oct 12 he will miss 'at least a couple of weeks.' Sell window is closed for now; revisit when he's back. |
| Nico Collins | WR | HOU | 71% | 25 | 20.9 | 3 | 58.7 | 94.9 | -36.2 | – |
HOU WR1
SECURE
drafted: Lewis Bond (R6) AI: CAUTIONHis 3 TDs in 3 games (returned Week 4 from a hamstring injury) inflate PPG, and Houston traded for Marvin Harrison Jr. on Oct 11 to add target competition. But 25 targets in 3 games and a team-high 7 looks (5-56) in Week 5 show elite volume, so expect TD regression rather than a usage collapse. |
Sources: nflverse snap counts and weekly player stats, NFL Next Gen Stats weekly rows, depth charts and draft data (see the project's data source list). Edition generated 2026-10-21 18:23 UTC; earlier weeks stay as published. AI notes generated 2026-10-13 23:54 UTC by Claude with live news search.